Taiwan Explores Economic Leverage After Papua New Guinea Closes Office

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Taiwan halts natural gas spot purchases from Papua New Guinea after Taipei’s office closure, signaling potential diplomatic consequences.


Key Points

  • Taiwan has stopped natural gas spot purchases from Papua New Guinea after Port Moresby closed Taipei’s trade office to align with China’s policy. This reflects a strategic shift in Taiwan’s diplomacy amid Chinese pressure.

  • The halted LNG purchases serve as a warning to countries undermining ties with Taiwan, signaling potential consequences without full-scale economic coercion.

  • Taiwan’s move represents a departure from its non-coercive trade policy. Previously, it removed Cambodia from visa programs for backing Beijing’s stance on Taiwan, indicating a readiness to attach consequences to reduced cooperation.

Taiwan has suspended its spot purchases of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Papua New Guinea in response to Port Moresby’s decision to close Taipei’s trade office. This development highlights Taiwan’s strategic shift in informal diplomacy, amidst increasing pressure from China. Taiwan’s move serves as a diplomatic signal to underscore potential consequences for countries that undermine its ties, rather than imposing full-scale economic sanctions.

Papua New Guinea’s recent decision to shut down Taiwan’s representative office aligns with its “One-China policy” and its intent to bolster economic relations with Beijing. This action ends Taiwan’s informal diplomatic presence in Port Moresby since 1990, causing concern in Taipei and among Western allies like the United States, while being commended by Beijing.

Taiwan’s Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung emphasized that the impact of halting spot LNG purchases should be seen as a warning. Taiwan’s imports from Papua New Guinea account for a significant portion of the latter’s LNG exports but only represent a small fraction of Taiwan’s overall imports. This suspension represents a departure from Taiwan’s traditional stance of not leveraging trade for political ends.

Previously, Taiwan has acted against Cambodia by removing it from visa facilitation programs after it supported China on Taiwan. These measures indicate Taipei’s increasing willingness to impose consequences on nations that distance themselves from supporting Taiwan, albeit stopping short of retaliation.

Analysts note Taiwan’s actions as primarily diplomatic signaling. Despite increasing pressures, Taiwan’s tactics remain constrained, focusing more on reminders than economic weaponization. This approach reflects Taiwan’s ongoing challenge of responding to Chinese influence while maintaining international partnerships.

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