2 superpowers, 1 playbook: Why Chinese and US bureaucrats think and act alike

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In 2025, U.S.-China relations declined over tariffs and territorial disputes, yet bureaucratic responses were surprisingly similar.


Key Points

  • In 2025, U.S.-Chinese relations worsened due to escalating tariffs and territorial disputes, affecting economic ties and intensifying military rivalries in the Indo-Pacific region. This conflict is often seen as a clash between democracy and autocracy.

  • An international team of researchers found that despite ideological differences, bureaucratic behaviors in both countries show surprising similarities. Career bureaucrats in China and the U.S. respond similarly to global challenges due to comparable incentives and dynamics.

  • Differences remain, such as China’s more centralized system with 8 million civil servants, compared to the U.S.’s decentralized bureaucracy with about 3 million federal employees. However, the bureaucratic operations reveal that China and the U.S. aren’t as different as often perceived.

In 2025, U.S.-Chinese relations deteriorated due to escalating tariffs and territorial disputes. The tensions are often perceived as a fundamental clash between democracy and autocracy, with economic liberalism pitted against state-led growth, and individualism versus collectivism. This narrative is largely driven by political leaders, overshadowing the fact that both nations are ultimately run by similar groups of career bureaucrats.

An international research team, through workshops and studies, has explored bureaucratic behaviors in both countries. Despite significant ideological and political differences at the leadership level, bureaucrats in the U.S. and China exhibit comparable incentives and actions in response to global challenges. This suggests that the operational and administrative aspects of both countries share more similarities than expected.

Notably, the structural distinctions remain. China’s bureaucratic system is highly centralized with an extensive civil service workforce of approximately 8 million, as opposed to the U.S.’s decentralized bureaucracy with around 3 million federal employees. These organizational differences highlight the varied scale and scope of bureaucratic systems in both nations.

The research and discussions illuminate that, beneath the surface of political rivalry, the everyday operations of governance show surprising parallels, challenging the conventional view of stark differences between the two superpowers.

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